Russian War Plane - Russian Sukhoi Su-57 fighter jets perform a demonstration flight at the MAKS-2019 air show in Zhukovsky, outside Moscow, Russia, on August 29, 2019.

The Su-57 has been in development since 2002 and is considered a key part of Russia's arms export industry as a fifth-generation fighter to compete with rival systems such as the US F-35 jet. The plane made its first flight about ten years ago, but the widely publicized system has yet to be deployed in the Russian military or any foreign military, despite Russia's promises to the contrary. The aircraft has had a series of recent test flights, including the deployment of several prototypes to Syria in 2018 and 2019. The planes apparently did not conduct live fire or strike missions, and the Kremlin claimed otherwise without presenting evidence. Furthermore, development challenges and recent accidents delayed initial operational capability of the Advanced Combat Bomb (IOC) until the mid-2020s. The head of Sukhoi Aviation, which develops the Su-57, resigned earlier this year due to development delays, including the December 2019 crash of the first "operational" Su-57 aircraft during a test flight.

Russian War Plane

Russian War Plane

The corporation, a nonprofit research organization, collected and analyzed open-source information on Russian arms sales worldwide at the request of the U.S. government to support training and awareness raising for foreign aid. One of the recurring findings of the analysis is the various challenges and failures experienced by the Russian Su-57 aircraft, reducing the likelihood of Russia exporting the aircraft before the mid-2020s.

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The primary challenge is to develop the aircraft's second-generation engine. The current prototype is equipped with an older engine, although the second generation is planned to include the Izdeliye 30 engine. According to a former Sukhoi aircraft engineer who later became an independent aviation expert, the 76 "operational" models expected to be delivered to the Air Force of the Russian Federation in the 2020s will not have the expected second-generation engine. It is not yet clear when the second generation engine will be finished. Aside from the advanced engine, the Su-57 is said to have full azimuth, known as 360-degree sensing capability, similar to the F-35. After all, it's not just its low observation (LO) characteristics that make it a fifth-generation fighter-bomber, but also its advanced all-azimuth sensor suite. Currently, only the F-35 has both of these features and is in mass production.

Successful development of these highly advanced aircraft has become a major challenge for Russian A&D industries. The Russian Federation's A&D industry has a legacy of failed attempts to reap the full benefits of the post-Cold War revolution in information technology. This has been exacerbated by Western sanctions and the disengagement of the Russian and Ukrainian A&D industries in this regard. Since the crisis in Crimea that began in the winter of 2014, the Russian political and military leadership has talked about renationalizing and reforming the Russian A&D sector, but the results have been modest at best.

Many of the problems stem from the way Russia's A&D sector is financed. Large conglomerates must borrow from the Russian banking sector to develop the next generation of high-tech combat vehicles, such as the Su-57 fighter-bomber. The conglomerate was repeatedly indebted to Russian banks after major weapons development programs ran into difficulties. The Putin regime has had to "bail out" these industries from time to time, especially since overall defense spending is tied to revenues from oil and natural gas exports. That revenue stream was curtailed in the 2015 market share war initiated by Saudi Arabia with the introduction of North American fracking energy industries. The recovery from that period of relative cuts in defense spending has been seriously set back by the recent downturn in the Russian economy, which has been hurt by falling oil and gas prices due to the global economic shocks caused by the COVID-19 outbreak. Widespread epidemic.

Not surprisingly, the Russian government has maintained a strong pitch to sell its current generation of combat vehicles and seek financial support through various advanced joint weapons development projects. The marketing and co-development of the Su-57 was the poster child for this phenomenon. India was the only country previously to have expressed interest in purchasing the aircraft, and in 2007 entered into a joint development program with Russia. However, by 2018, India pulled out of the program due to continued development delays, particularly the failure to develop a second-generation engine, as well as disagreements over technology transfer.

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Although Russia continues to court India, the Modi government has announced plans to develop its own fifth-generation jet, suggesting it has no intention of buying the Su-57. India has indicated that it plans to develop its engines based on French, British and American models as Russia lags behind in engine technology. This does not mean that the Indian market for advanced combat vehicles and weapons has dried up for the Russians. Recently, the Russians were able to sell a relatively small number of Su-30MKIs and MiG-29s to India, sales prompted by violent border clashes between India and China over the summer.

Russia continued to seek other markets for the Su-57 or partners for joint development. These include China, Turkey, Vietnam and Algeria. Currently, these claims fail. In December 2019, various reports emerged that Algeria had signed a contract for 12 Su-57 aircraft, making it the first export customer. However, several sources cast doubt on whether a deal would happen. One reason is that given how far behind Sukhoi is in delivering Su-57s to the Russian military, Russia will struggle to meet the 2025 Algeria deadline. Another reason is that Algerian law requires imported military aircraft to be inspected in the country first, something Tom Cooper, an expert on Russian military aircraft, says the Russians would never allow.

Despite continued Russian efforts to sell the aircraft, a fully developed and fully production-ready Su-57 will be available for sale before the late 2020s. Although fully developed, the Su-57 lacks the LO features of another upgraded fourth-generation heavy fighter-bomber, the F-35, but may have the properties of that fifth-generation fighter's azimuth-sensing F-15EX. Airplanes.

Russian War Plane

Ryan Bauer is a security analyst and Peter Wilson is a senior international security researcher affiliated with the nonprofit, nonpartisan Corporation.

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The commentary provides a platform for researchers to provide insights based on their professional expertise and often on their peer-reviewed research and analysis. MOSCOW, July 20 () – President Vladimir Putin on Tuesday inspected a prototype of the new fifth-generation Sukhoi fighter jet. that Russia has unveiled at its annual MAKS air show targeting export markets.

The military aircraft, given the name of the "Checkmate" project, is often considered a rival to the American F-35 stealth fighter, said Oleg Panteleev, head of the Aviaport analytical agency.

Yuriy Slyusar, head of United Aircraft Corporation, told reporters that the fighter is expected to take to the skies in 2023, with the first series to be produced in 2026.

Rostec, Russia's state-owned aerospace and defense conglomerate, said the craft would be difficult to detect and would have low operating costs.

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The head of Rostec, Sergey Chemezov, said it would cost 25 to 30 million dollars, RIA news agency reported. He said he expects demand from Moscow, the Middle East, Asia Pacific and Latin America.

[1/5] Shat-mat, a new fifth-generation Sukhoi stealth fighter jet is seen during the opening ceremony of the MAKS-2021 air show in Zhukovsky, outside Moscow, Russia on July 20, 2021. Via Sputnik/Alexei Nikolsky/Kremlin

"Our goal is to reduce the cost per flight hour as much as possible, making it cheaper not only to buy but also to operate," said Sljusar.

Russian War Plane

In recent years, Russia has successfully produced prototypes of new weapons systems, but has sometimes struggled to transition to mass production.

Sukhoi Su 34

Under Putin, it has invested heavily in military aircraft and new weapons to bolster its own armed forces and boost export revenue from arms sales. Many of its new weapons are still based on Cold War Soviet-era technology.

Russia already has fourth-generation fighters - the heavy-class Sukhoi Su-27 and the light-class Mikoyan MiG-29. There is one fifth-generation fighter jet in the heavy class, the Su-57, but not the same as the light class, Panteleev said.

"Light-class combat aircraft are more in demand in the world than heavy-class ones - they are cheaper and more suitable for countries that don't have large land areas," he said.

United Airlines, part of Rostec, is owned by the Sukhoi aircraft manufacturer, which dates back to the Soviet era. A Russian Su-27 fighter jet flies below during an air show in Rostov-on-Don, southern Russia, in 2007. Sergey Venuavsky / AP File

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A Russian Su-27 jet flew dangerously close to a US Air Force RC-135 jet over the Baltic Sea on Friday, military officials said.

The Russian aircraft performed a tube roll within 25 feet of the fuselage of the RC-135.

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